Quote from: BH on December 03, 2012, 12:45:22 PM
Found this nugget on SKO's site and couldn't resist. It's so dumb. Not one of these arguments makes any sense, he has to be kidding right?
"Fro Dog said...
No, I don't think the Bears have at least two wins left in them and I'll tell you why.
1. Vikings - They are not very happy right now and haven't won in a little while.
2. Cardinals - The Bears, historically (even in 2006), have had a horrible time with this team. I know that what happened years ago isn't relevant but it is a trend.
3. Packers - They are 1-9 in their last ten games and that one win was on a Monday night where the refs helped the Bears. Aaron Rodgers owns them.
4. Lions - They barely beat them the first time around and this game is on the road.
If you want to rebuttal, feel free.
December 3, 2012 1:24 AM"
Okay, so on the one that can actually be analyzed statistically.
Quote
Aaron Rodgers owns them
So yes...Rodgers basically owns the Bears.
In some ways he owns them less than he owns the rest of the NFL, but using winning % of the most likely crux of his argument - he's basically right.
Arguments 1 and 2 above are insanely idiotic.
4 has at least little low-level merit, assuming home field advantage still is worth a few points (something that invariably has been assessed statistically for recent times.)
Edit: Because I'm too lazy to fix the spreadsheet and re-save as an image and then re-upload the image, note that TD/ATT and INT/ATT should be reversed. Those are actually ATT/TD and ATT/INT (essentially the frequency of the occurrence.)
